Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards #097 · Holo
✓Tracker matchFlutter Mane - 097 (Pokemon Center) · SV: Scarlet & Violet Promo Cards · #097
✓Raw pricePulse $33.74 vs tracker $33.74 (+0%)
✓Gem rate16.2% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$661.43 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$34.07 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-28%
PSA 10$661.43PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$34.07PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8-PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$29.81$78.33 net sale vs $108.15 cost
EV rangeEV range: -43% / -28% / -11% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $33.74PSA 10 rate 14.8–17.7% (80% interval on 163 / 1007); comps ±16.5% (comp quality 67). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 10% / 9 45% / 8 28% / ≤7 17%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 16.2% → adjusted 10.4% (SV, ×0.64 at $34 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 15.9% adjusted (≈ 24.8% population)
CostsRaw $33.74 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.42 = $108.15Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $562.26 · PSA 9 $23.84 · PSA 8 $20.66 · ≤7 $20.66PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 17.7% vs SV typical 32.0%): PSA 9 68% → 51%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium19.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate16.2%
PSA 10 pop163
Total pop1,007
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity74/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply70/100
Demand86/100
Gem rate 16.2%PSA 10 pop 163/1007PSA 10/9 premium 19.4xSupply constraint 70/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$33.74
Pulse price$33.74
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Flutter Mane - 097 (Pokemon Center)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$31.05 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown35% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-04-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.