Identity checkMatches
✓CardSV05: Temporal Forces #208/162 · Holo
✓Tracker matchRaging Bolt ex - 208/162 · SV05: Temporal Forces · #208/162
✓Raw pricePulse $62.11 vs tracker $62.11 (+0%)
✓Gem rate42.1% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$225.53 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$61.91 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$46.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SV: none graded yet
SV grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SV grades are back.
Graded economics-38%
PSA 10$225.53PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$61.91PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$46.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$52.11$85.44 net sale vs $137.55 cost
EV rangeEV range: -42% / -38% / -34% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $62.11PSA 10 rate 41.5–42.8% (80% interval on 3843 / 9121); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 29% / 9 48% / 8 16% / ≤7 7%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 42.1% → adjusted 29.1% (SV, ×0.69 at $62 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 65.1% adjusted (≈ 94.3% population)
CostsRaw $62.11 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.45 = $137.55Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $188.15 · PSA 9 $47.73 · PSA 8 $34.08 · ≤7 $34.08PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSV grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium3.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate42.1%
PSA 10 pop3,843
Total pop9,121
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity39/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply33/100
Demand50/100
Gem rate 42.1%PSA 10 pop 3843/9121PSA 10/9 premium 3.6xSupply constraint 33/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$62.11
Pulse price$62.11
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Raging Bolt ex - 208/162PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$58.47 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown37% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-04-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.