Identity checkMatches
✓CardMiscellaneous Cards & Products #007/165 · Rev Holo
✓Tracker matchSquirtle - 007/165 (Pokemon Center Exclusive) · Miscellaneous Cards & Products · #007/165
✓Raw pricePulse $99.69 vs tracker $99.69 (+0%)
✓Gem rate32.3% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$425.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$155.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-14%
PSA 10$425.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$155.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8-PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$24.32$152.18 net sale vs $176.50 cost
EV rangeEV range: -23% / -14% / -4% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $18.16 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $99.69PSA 10 rate 31.4–33.2% (80% interval on 1406 / 4357); comps ±12.0% (comp quality 76). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 20% / 9 40% / 8 24% / ≤7 16%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 32.3% → adjusted 20.2% (Other, ×0.63 at $100 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 29.6% adjusted (≈ 47.2% population)
CostsRaw $99.69 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $5.82 = $176.50Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $359.35 · PSA 9 $127.62 · PSA 8 $71.60 · ≤7 $71.60PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate32.3%
PSA 10 pop1,406
Total pop4,357
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity46/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply46/100
Demand71/100
Gem rate 32.3%PSA 10 pop 1406/4357PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 46/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$99.69
Pulse price$99.69
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Squirtle - 007/165 (Pokemon Center Exclusive)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$88.51 floor, 3 tests
Drawdown39% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.