Identity checkMatches
✓CardMiscellaneous Cards & Products #022/192 · Holo
✓Tracker matchFlapple - 022/192 (EB Games Exclusive) · Miscellaneous Cards & Products · #022/192
✓Raw pricePulse $23.37 vs tracker $23.37 (+0%)
✓Gem rate10.5% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$194.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$25.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$6.53 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-83%
PSA 10$194.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$25.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$6.53PriceCharting crawler
Net EV−$80.93$16.47 net sale vs $97.40 cost
EV rangeEV range: -89% / -83% / -71% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $23.37PSA 10 rate 4.5–22.9% (80% interval on 2 / 19); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 5% / 9 47% / 8 28% / ≤7 19%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 10.5% → adjusted 5.4% (Other, ×0.51 at $23 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 58.0% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $23.37 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.04 = $97.40Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $161.95 · PSA 9 $16.06 · PSA 8 $0.30 · ≤7 $0.30PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium7.8x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate10.5%
PSA 10 pop2
Total pop19
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity82/100
LabelStrong
Confidence85/100
Supply80/100
Demand45/100
Gem rate 10.5%PSA 10 pop 2/19PSA 10/9 premium 7.8xSupply constraint 80/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$23.37
Pulse price$23.37
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Flapple - 022/192 (EB Games Exclusive)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$21.19 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown46% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-09-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.