Identity checkMatches
✓CardMiscellaneous Cards & Products #256/S-P · Normal
✓Tracker matchMallow & Lana - 256/S-P · Miscellaneous Cards & Products · #256/S-P
✓Raw pricePulse $18.78 vs tracker $18.78 (+0%)
✓Gem rate76.9% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$105.35 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$122.09 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-29%
PSA 10$105.35PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$122.09PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8-PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$26.56$66.08 net sale vs $92.64 cost
EV rangeEV range: -42% / -29% / -15% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $18.78PSA 10 rate 74.8–79.0% (80% interval on 514 / 668); comps ±18.0% (comp quality 64). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 38% / 9 31% / 8 18% / ≤7 12%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 76.9% → adjusted 38.5% (Other, ×0.50 at $19 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $18.78 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.87 = $92.64Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $85.01 · PSA 9 $99.38 · PSA 8 $9.11 · ≤7 $9.11PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium0.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate76.9%
PSA 10 pop514
Total pop668
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity11/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply5/100
Demand25/100
Gem rate 76.9%PSA 10 pop 514/668PSA 10/9 premium 0.9xSupply constraint 5/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$18.78
Pulse price$18.78
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Mallow & Lana - 256/S-PPSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$17.61 floor, 2 tests
Drawdown53% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.