![Colress's Experiment (Regional Championships) [Staff]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/487432_200w.jpg)
Identity checkMismatch
✓CardLeague & Championship Cards #155/196 · Rev Holo
✓Tracker matchColress's Experiment (Regional Championships) [Staff] · League & Championship Cards · #155/196
✓Raw pricePulse $151.24 vs tracker $151.24 (+0%)
✓Gem rate3.3% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$121.36 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✕PSA 9 comp$44.69 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on XY: none graded yet
XY grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 XY grades are back.
Graded economics-85%
PSA 10$121.36Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 9$44.69Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 8-Market grade-curve estimate
Net EV−$195.42$34.51 net sale vs $229.93 cost
EV rangeEV range: -89% / -85% / -80% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $151.24PSA 10 rate 1.0–10.5% (80% interval on 1 / 30); comps ±20.5% (comp quality 59). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 2% / 9 59% / 8 24% / ≤7 15%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 3.3% → adjusted 2.4% (XY, ×0.71 at $151 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $151.24 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $7.70 = $229.93Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $98.75 · PSA 9 $32.95 · PSA 8 $32.95 · ≤7 $32.95PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitXY grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate3.3%
PSA 10 pop1
Total pop30
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity75/100
LabelStrong
Confidence89/100
Supply93/100
Demand30/100
Gem rate 3.3%PSA 10 pop 1/30PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 93/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$151.24
Pulse price$151.24
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Colress's Experiment (Regional Championships) [Staff]PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Momentum#43 / +282%
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.