Identity checkMismatch
✓CardWorld Championship Decks #46/124 · Normal
✓Tracker matchMew EX - 2014 (Trent Orndorff) · World Championship Decks · #46/124
✓Raw pricePulse $19.83 vs tracker $19.83 (+0%)
✓Gem rate12.7% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$50.27 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✕PSA 9 comp$18.51 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$94.02 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SM: none graded yet
SM grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SM grades are back.
Graded economics-66%
PSA 10$50.27Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 9$18.51Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 8$94.02PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$61.83$31.90 net sale vs $93.73 cost
EV rangeEV range: -71% / -66% / -61% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $19.83PSA 10 rate 8.3–19.0% (80% interval on 8 / 63); comps ±12.5% (comp quality 75). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 7% / 9 42% / 8 30% / ≤7 21%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 12.7% → adjusted 7.0% (SM, ×0.55 at $20 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $19.83 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.91 = $93.73Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $37.74 · PSA 9 $10.49 · PSA 8 $75.29 · ≤7 $9.92PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSM split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 19.0% vs SM typical 34.0%): PSA 9 60% → 45%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate12.7%
PSA 10 pop8
Total pop63
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity61/100
LabelWatch
Confidence92/100
Supply76/100
Demand0/100
Gem rate 12.7%PSA 10 pop 8/63PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 76/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$19.83
Pulse price$19.83
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Mew EX - 2014 (Trent Orndorff)PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$17.99 floor, 3 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.