Identity checkMatches
✓CardWorld Championship Decks #104/112 · Normal
✓Tracker matchBlastoise ex - 2006 (Hiroki Yano) · World Championship Decks · #104/112
✓Raw pricePulse $35.89 vs tracker $35.89 (+0%)
✓Gem rate15.9% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$674.54 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$400.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SM: none graded yet
SM grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SM grades are back.
Graded economics+84%
PSA 10$674.54PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$400.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8-PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$92.87$203.24 net sale vs $110.37 cost
EV rangeEV range: +55% / +84% / +116% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $81.12 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $35.89PSA 10 rate 13.1–19.2% (80% interval on 37 / 233); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 9% / 9 41% / 8 29% / ≤7 20%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 15.9% → adjusted 9.5% (SM, ×0.60 at $36 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $35.89 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.49 = $110.37Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $573.51 · PSA 9 $337.89 · PSA 8 $22.32 · ≤7 $22.32PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSM split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 19.2% vs SM typical 34.0%): PSA 9 60% → 45%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium1.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate15.9%
PSA 10 pop37
Total pop233
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity60/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply71/100
Demand87/100
Gem rate 15.9%PSA 10 pop 37/233PSA 10/9 premium 1.7xSupply constraint 71/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$35.89
Pulse price$35.89
Delta0%
CheckedSep 29, 2026
Blastoise ex - 2006 (Hiroki Yano)PSA comps refreshed Sep 29, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context2
Support$27.02 floor, 4 tests
Drawdown30% off peak, Basing
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.