Identity checkMatches
✓CardMiscellaneous Cards & Products #015/062 · Holo
✓Tracker matchZapdos - 15/62 (Cosmos Holo) · Miscellaneous Cards & Products · #015/062
✓Raw pricePulse $31.87 vs tracker $27.10 (-15%)
✓Gem rate1.3% · GemRate · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$999.99 · PriceCharting · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$150.54 · PriceCharting · this printing
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-57%
PSA 10$999.99PriceCharting
PSA 9$150.54PriceCharting
PSA 8-PriceCharting
Net EV−$60.40$45.80 net sale vs $106.21 cost
EV rangeEV range: -65% / -57% / -47% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $31.87PSA 10 rate 1.1–1.7% (80% interval on 37 / 2742); comps ±26.0% (comp quality 48). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 1% / 9 20% / 8 45% / ≤7 35%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 1.3% → adjusted 0.7% (Other, ×0.54 at $32 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 8.1% adjusted (≈ 15.1% population)
CostsRaw $31.87 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.35 = $106.21Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $852.82 · PSA 9 $123.80 · PSA 8 $19.22 · ≤7 $19.22PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 1.7% vs Other typical 20.4%): PSA 9 50% → 20%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium6.6x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate1.3%
PSA 10 pop37
Total pop2,742
SourceGemRate
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity90/100
LabelElite
Confidence100/100
Supply97/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 1.3%PSA 10 pop 37/2742PSA 10/9 premium 6.6xSupply constraint 97/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$27.10
Pulse price$31.87
Delta-15%
CheckedJun 21, 2026
Zapdos - 15/62 (Cosmos Holo)PSA comps refreshed Jun 21, 2026
Signal context1
Support$24.39 floor, 3 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.