Identity checkMatches
✓CardSWSH08: Fusion Strike #255/264 · Holo
✓Tracker matchGenesect V (Alternate Full Art) · SWSH08: Fusion Strike · #255/264
!Raw pricePulse $25.78 vs tracker $31.43 (+22%)
✓Gem rate46.1% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$160.98 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$34.50 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$22.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SW&SH: none graded yet
SW&SH grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SW&SH grades are back.
Graded economics-48%
PSA 10$160.98PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$34.50PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$22.00PriceCharting crawler
Net EV−$47.53$52.36 net sale vs $99.90 cost
EV rangeEV range: -58% / -48% / -37% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $25.78PSA 10 rate 45.3–47.0% (80% interval on 2461 / 5333); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 29% / 9 44% / 8 18% / ≤7 9%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 46.1% → adjusted 28.6% (SW&SH, ×0.62 at $26 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 70.8% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $25.78 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.13 = $99.90Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $132.76 · PSA 9 $24.21 · PSA 8 $13.48 · ≤7 $13.48PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSW&SH split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 47.0% vs SW&SH typical 56.5%): PSA 9 68% → 62%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium4.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate46.1%
PSA 10 pop2,461
Total pop5,333
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 21, 2026
Scarcity40/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply29/100
Demand39/100
Gem rate 46.1%PSA 10 pop 2461/5333PSA 10/9 premium 4.7xSupply constraint 29/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$31.43
Pulse price$25.78
Delta+22%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Genesect V (Alternate Full Art)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026
Signal context1
Support$23.59 floor, 5 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.