Identity checkMatches
✓CardSWSH07: Evolving Skies #205/203 · Holo
✓Tracker matchLeafeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · SWSH07: Evolving Skies · #205/203
✓Raw pricePulse $385.09 vs tracker $405.19 (+5%)
✓Gem rate71.8% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$670.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$358.00 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 8 comp$282.41 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SW&SH: none graded yet
SW&SH grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SW&SH grades are back.
Graded economics-5%
PSA 10$670.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$358.00PriceCharting crawler
PSA 8$282.41PriceCharting crawler
Net EV−$25.47$446.83 net sale vs $472.30 cost
EV rangeEV range: -22% / -5% / +12% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $223.37 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $385.09PSA 10 rate 71.3–72.3% (80% interval on 11041 / 15376); comps ±17.5% (comp quality 65). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 57% / 9 29% / 8 9% / ≤7 4%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 71.8% → adjusted 57.4% (SW&SH, ×0.80 at $385 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 66.3% adjusted (≈ 82.8% population)
CostsRaw $385.09 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $16.22 = $472.30Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $569.61 · PSA 9 $301.84 · PSA 8 $236.97 · ≤7 $236.97PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSW&SH grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium1.9x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate71.8%
PSA 10 pop11,041
Total pop15,376
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 21, 2026
Scarcity23/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply8/100
Demand87/100
Gem rate 71.8%PSA 10 pop 11041/15376PSA 10/9 premium 1.9xSupply constraint 8/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$405.19
Pulse price$385.09
Delta+5%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Leafeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026
Signal context1
Support$378.09 floor, 4 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.