![Arctozolt - SWSH036 (Prerelease) [Staff]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/218581_200w.jpg)
Identity checkMatches
✓CardSWSH: Sword & Shield Promo Cards #SWSH036 · Holo
✓Tracker matchArctozolt - SWSH036 (Prerelease) [Staff] · SWSH: Sword & Shield Promo Cards · #SWSH036
✓Raw pricePulse $43.64 vs tracker $43.64 (+0%)
✓Gem rate34.8% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$149.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$75.76 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$69.99 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SW&SH: none graded yet
SW&SH grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SW&SH grades are back.
Graded economics-41%
PSA 10$149.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 9$75.76PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$69.99PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV−$48.78$69.62 net sale vs $118.41 cost
EV rangeEV range: -46% / -41% / -36% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $43.64PSA 10 rate 29.3–40.8% (80% interval on 39 / 112); comps ±5.0% (comp quality 93). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 23% / 9 44% / 8 21% / ≤7 12%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 34.8% → adjusted 23.0% (SW&SH, ×0.66 at $44 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 93.0% adjusted (over 100% population)
CostsRaw $43.64 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $3.78 = $118.41Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $123.33 · PSA 9 $59.62 · PSA 8 $54.67 · ≤7 $28.31PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSW&SH split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 40.8% vs SW&SH typical 56.5%): PSA 9 68% → 58%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.0x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate34.8%
PSA 10 pop39
Total pop112
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity43/100
LabelWeak
Confidence100/100
Supply42/100
Demand37/100
Gem rate 34.8%PSA 10 pop 39/112PSA 10/9 premium 2.0xSupply constraint 42/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$43.64
Pulse price$43.64
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Arctozolt - SWSH036 (Prerelease) [Staff]PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$40.28 floor, 5 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.