Identity checkMismatch
✓CardJumbo Cards #101/102 + 102/102 · Holo
✓Tracker matchPalkia & Dialga Legends - 101/102 + 102/102 (Single Oversized Promo) · Jumbo Cards · #101/102 + 102/102
✕Raw pricePulse $299.99 vs tracker $33.33 (-89%)
✓Gem rate6.7% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$102.13 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✕PSA 9 comp$37.61 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Other: none graded yet
Other grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Other grades are back.
Graded economics-92%
PSA 10$102.13Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 9$37.61Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 8-Market grade-curve estimate
Net EV−$354.64$29.46 net sale vs $384.10 cost
EV rangeEV range: -95% / -92% / -89% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $299.99PSA 10 rate 2.8–15.0% (80% interval on 2 / 30); comps ±26.5% (comp quality 47). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 5% / 9 41% / 8 32% / ≤7 22%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 6.7% → adjusted 4.7% (Other, ×0.70 at $300 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $299.99 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $13.12 = $384.10Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $82.25 · PSA 9 $26.88 · PSA 8 $26.88 · ≤7 $26.88PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitOther split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 15.0% vs Other typical 20.4%): PSA 9 50% → 43%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate6.7%
PSA 10 pop2
Total pop30
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity71/100
LabelWatch
Confidence89/100
Supply87/100
Demand24/100
Gem rate 6.7%PSA 10 pop 2/30PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 87/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$33.33
Pulse price$299.99
Delta-89%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Palkia & Dialga Legends - 101/102 + 102/102 (Single Oversized Promo)PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context0
StatusNo active dashboard flag
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-05-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.