Identity checkMismatch
✓CardSM - Team Up #33/181 · Holo
✓Tracker matchPikachu & Zekrom GX · SM - Team Up · #33/181
✕Raw pricePulse $53.18 vs tracker $99.49 (+87%)
✓Gem rate34.2% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,216 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 9 comp$225.31 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$35.87 · PokemonPriceTracker 365d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on SM: none graded yet
SM grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 SM grades are back.
Graded economics+141%
PSA 10$1,216PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 9$225.31PokemonPriceTracker 365d
PSA 8$35.87PokemonPriceTracker 365d
Net EV$186.76$319.28 net sale vs $132.52 cost
EV rangeEV range: +106% / +141% / +177% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $144.52 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $53.18PSA 10 rate 33.6–34.8% (80% interval on 3260 / 9535); comps ±13.5% (comp quality 73). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 21% / 9 47% / 8 20% / ≤7 12%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 34.2% → adjusted 21.5% (SM, ×0.63 at $53 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenNeeds ≥ 0.6% adjusted (≈ 1.0% population)
CostsRaw $53.18 + shipping $5.00 + grading $64.28 (expected; 21% chance of an upcharge tier) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.06 = $132.52Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,038.20 · PSA 9 $187.97 · PSA 8 $25.39 · ≤7 $25.39PSA tier: Standard $59.99; 21% chance of an upcharge to Priority; about 127 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitSM grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium5.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate34.2%
PSA 10 pop3,260
Total pop9,535
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity56/100
LabelWatch
Confidence100/100
Supply43/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 34.2%PSA 10 pop 3260/9535PSA 10/9 premium 5.4xSupply constraint 43/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$99.49
Pulse price$53.18
Delta+87%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Pikachu & Zekrom GXPSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context1
Support$34.52 floor, 3 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.