Identity checkMismatch
✓CardCountdown Calendar Promos #086/123 · Normal
✓Tracker matchKricketot - 86/123 · Countdown Calendar Promos · #086/123
✕Raw pricePulse $0.05 vs tracker $11.90 (+23700%)
✓Gem rate6.3% · GemRate card search enrichment · this printing
✕PSA 10 comp$36.90 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
✕PSA 9 comp$13.43 · Market grade-curve estimate · this printing
!PSA 8 compNone (optional downside)
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics-95%
PSA 10$36.90Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 9$13.43Market grade-curve estimate
PSA 8-Market grade-curve estimate
Net EV−$69.81$3.42 net sale vs $73.23 cost
EV rangeEV range: -98% / -95% / -90% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy: none (the pessimistic case can't return 20% at any price), with the card's value held at $0.05PSA 10 rate 1.9–18.8% (80% interval on 1 / 16); comps ±30.0% (comp quality 39). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 3% / 9 44% / 8 29% / ≤7 24%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 6.3% → adjusted 2.8% (Vintage, ×0.45 at $0.05 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenCan't break even at these prices
CostsRaw $0.05 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $2.19 = $73.23Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $26.27 · PSA 9 $6.13 · PSA 8 $0.00 · ≤7 $0.00PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage grade split (starting assumption); ≤7 valued at 90% of raw; no PSA 8 comp, so 8s valued like ≤7
PSA 10/9 premium2.7x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate6.3%
PSA 10 pop1
Total pop16
SourceGemRate card search enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 22, 2026
Scarcity69/100
LabelWatch
Confidence85/100
Supply88/100
Demand0/100
Gem rate 6.3%PSA 10 pop 1/16PSA 10/9 premium 2.7xSupply constraint 88/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$11.90
Pulse price$0.05
Delta+23700%
CheckedJun 22, 2026
Kricketot - 86/123PSA comps refreshed Jun 22, 2026PSA sales window 365 days
Signal context0
StatusNo active dashboard flag
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-04-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.