Identity checkMatches
✓CardBlack and White Promos #BW101 · Normal
✓Tracker matchGenesect - BW101 · Black and White Promos · #BW101
✓Raw pricePulse $59.51 vs tracker $59.51 (+0%)
✓Gem rate0.0% · GemRate snapshot enrichment · this printing
✓PSA 10 comp$1,202 · PriceCharting crawler · this printing
✓PSA 9 comp$499.95 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
✓PSA 8 comp$400.00 · PokemonPriceTracker 90d · matched by product ID
Your grading resultsNone logged
Your results on this set: none graded yet
Your results on Vintage: none graded yet
Vintage grade odds use the starting assumptions until 5 Vintage grades are back.
Graded economics+103%
PSA 10$1,202PriceCharting crawler
PSA 9$499.95PokemonPriceTracker 90d
PSA 8$400.00PokemonPriceTracker 90d
Net EV$139.48$274.33 net sale vs $134.85 cost
EV rangeEV range: +89% / +103% / +129% (pessimistic / expected / optimistic)Max buy $151.66 (pessimistic case returns 20%), with the card's value held at $59.51PSA 10 rate 0.0–3.4% (80% interval on 0 / 46); comps ±7.5% (comp quality 85). The 80% interval, the comp band and the ×0.5 / ×1.5 fallback without population counts are starting assumptions.
Outcome mix10 0% / 9 33% / 8 36% / ≤7 31%
PSA 10 ratePopulation 0.0% → adjusted 0.0% (Vintage, ×0.54 at $60 value, starting assumption)
Break-evenProfitable even with no PSA 10s
CostsRaw $59.51 + shipping $5.00 + grading $59.99 (expected) + submission shipping $6.00 + time cost $4.35 = $134.85Net sale after fees: PSA 10 $1,026.33 · PSA 9 $423.67 · PSA 8 $337.89 · ≤7 $40.57PSA tier: Standard $59.99; about 133 days at PSA. PSA and eBay fees from their official pages; eBay fees include 7% sales tax in their base; that, the shipping and the 10%/yr time cost are your assumptions (Settings).
Grade splitVintage split adjusted for this card's low PSA 10 rate (≤ 3.4% vs Vintage typical 6.4%): PSA 9 45% → 33%, starting assumption; ≤7 valued at 90% of raw
PSA 10/9 premium2.4x
PopulationPSA 10
Gem rate0.0%
PSA 10 pop0
Total pop46
SourceGemRate snapshot enrichment
PSA 10 velocity-
Total velocity-
SnapshotJun 20, 2026
Scarcity87/100
LabelStrong
Confidence67/100
Supply100/100
Demand100/100
Gem rate 0.0%PSA 10 pop 0/46PSA 10/9 premium 2.4xSupply constraint 100/100
Raw validationconfirmed
TCG market$59.51
Pulse price$59.51
Delta0%
CheckedOct 13, 2026
Genesect - BW101PSA comps refreshed Oct 13, 2026PSA sales window 90 days
Signal context1
Support$60.00 floor, 4 tests
*All-time high/low are within the tracked window (2024-03-08 - 2026-10-14). Raw, ungraded TCGplayer market price (blue) and cheapest listing (grey) via the free TCGCSV mirror. Personal, non-commercial prototype - not investment advice.